Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	mark___NUM__	15		✓	0.0486	0.0173	0.934
1	mark___NUM__	15		✗	0	0	0
2	__NUM___year	0		✓	0	0.000199	0.0191
2	__NUM___year	0		✗	0.0374	0.0103	0.933
3	american_enterpris	5		✓	0.00458	0.000199	0.041
3	american_enterpris	5		✗	0.0221	0.00736	0.925
4	econom_freedom	12		✓	0.00299	0	0.0858
4	econom_freedom	12		✗	0.00458	0	0.907
5	endang_speci	52		✓	0.481	0.00438	0.113
5	endang_speci	52		✗	0.00478	0	0.396
6	small_busi	31		✓	0.0107	0.032	0.456
6	small_busi	31		✗	0.0585	0.00398	0.439
7	presid_obama	24		✓	0.0547	0.0133	0.103
7	presid_obama	24		✗	0.0452	0.0338	0.75
8	wildest_dream	69		✓	0.132	0.0671	0.245
8	wildest_dream	69		✗	0.0432	0.0338	0.479
9	american_dream	38		✓	0.783	0.0149	0.000796
9	american_dream	38		✗	0.146	0.0503	0.00438
10	bring_peopl	49		✓	0.214	0.0179	0
10	bring_peopl	49		✗	0.715	0.0533	0
11	common_purpos	4		✓	0.0243	0.00299	0.000398
11	common_purpos	4		✗	0.903	0.0697	0
12	econom_recoveri	43		✓	0.127	0.292	0.0259
12	econom_recoveri	43		✗	0.491	0.0645	0
13	great_depress	3		✓	0.0219	0.000995	0.00159
13	great_depress	3		✗	0.61	0.342	0.0235
14	problem_face	16		✓	0.279	0.00299	0.00338
14	problem_face	16		✗	0.615	0.0949	0.00478
15	test_score	95		✓	0.435	0.000597	0.00856
15	test_score	95		✗	0.554	0.00139	0.000398
16	educ_system	153		✓	0.124	0	0
16	educ_system	153		✗	0.876	0	0
17	__NUM___year_ago	5		✓	0.0133	0	0
17	__NUM___year_ago	5		✗	0.987	0	0
18	public_educ	6		✓	0.00179	0	0
18	public_educ	6		✗	0.998	0	0
19	develop_countri	7		✓	0.00358	0	0
19	develop_countri	7		✗	0.996	0	0
20	unit_state	3		✓	0.0503	0	0.000199
20	unit_state	3		✗	0.949	0	0
21	public_educ	25		✓	0.0137	0	0
21	public_educ	25		✗	0.986	0	0
22	educ_system	0		✓	0.000398	0	0
22	educ_system	0		✗	1	0	0
23	high_school	24		✓	0.0189	0	0
23	high_school	24		✗	0.981	0	0
24	major_citi	5		✓	0.00418	0	0.000398
24	major_citi	5		✗	0.995	0	0
25	primari_goal	26		✓	0.00975	0	0.000995
25	primari_goal	26		✗	0.989	0	0
26	public_educ	26		✓	0.00577	0	0.0103
26	public_educ	26		✗	0.983	0	0.000796
27	minor_children	44		✓	0.1	0.00856	0.07
27	minor_children	44		✗	0.812	0	0.00856
28	great_challeng	16		✓	0.132	0.00259	0.00756
28	great_challeng	16		✗	0.825	0.00716	0.0255
29	nation_educ	85		✓	0.144	0.000199	0.000199
29	nation_educ	85		✗	0.855	0	0.000796
30	nation_attent	19		✓	0.00677	0	0.00179
30	nation_attent	19		✗	0.991	0	0.000796
31	american_educ	28		✓	0.0125	0.000398	0.0101
31	american_educ	28		✗	0.974	0	0.00259
32	nation_educ	104		✓	0.0521	0	0
32	nation_educ	104		✗	0.948	0	0
33	educ_system	0		✓	0.000597	0	0
33	educ_system	0		✗	0.999	0	0
34	school_choic	42		✓	0.0615	0	0
34	school_choic	42		✗	0.939	0	0
35	charter_school	56		✓	0.0265	0	0
35	charter_school	56		✗	0.974	0	0
36	privat_school	5		✓	0.00378	0	0.000199
36	privat_school	5		✗	0.996	0	0
37	school_choic	36		✓	0.0153	0	0
37	school_choic	36		✗	0.985	0	0
38	charter_school	12		✓	0.00677	0	0.000398
38	charter_school	12		✗	0.993	0	0
39	presid_obama	23		✓	0.405	0.0535	0.202
39	presid_obama	23		✗	0.34	0	0.000199
40	child_left	54		✓	0.43	0.0384	0.0153
40	child_left	54		✗	0.46	0.0304	0.0263
41	step_forward	8		✓	0.119	0.0167	0.000597
41	step_forward	8		✗	0.792	0.0671	0.00498
42	held_respons	44		✓	0.138	0.106	0.0609
42	held_respons	44		✗	0.613	0.0778	0.00378
43	__NUM___program	124		✓	0.198	0.19	0.03
43	__NUM___program	124		✗	0.412	0.153	0.0173
44	spend___MONEY___billion	5		✓	0.0157	0.00179	0.00159
44	spend___MONEY___billion	5		✗	0.602	0.333	0.0468
45	block_grant	15		✓	0.0464	0.00517	0.00776
45	block_grant	15		✗	0.599	0.3	0.0418
46	colleg_educ	107		✓	0.465	0.00358	0.0141
46	colleg_educ	107		✗	0.477	0.0378	0.00199
47	high_school	8		✓	0.0941	0	0
47	high_school	8		✗	0.902	0.00358	0
48	wide_varieti	8		✓	0.0322	0	0.00119
48	wide_varieti	8		✗	0.965	0.00179	0
49	higher_educ	23		✓	0.0279	0.000398	0.000597
49	higher_educ	23		✗	0.97	0.000796	0.000199
50	teacher_union	49		✓	0.0611	0.000199	0
50	teacher_union	49		✗	0.939	0	0
51	american_feder	40		✓	0.0231	0	0
51	american_feder	40		✗	0.977	0	0
52	school_children	10		✓	0.00378	0	0
52	school_children	10		✗	0.996	0	0
53	teacher_union	16		✓	0.00716	0	0
53	teacher_union	16		✗	0.993	0	0
54	__MONEY___million	45		✓	0.0229	0.000199	0.00199
54	__MONEY___million	45		✗	0.975	0	0
55	polit_parti	10		✓	0.0215	0.000199	0
55	polit_parti	10		✗	0.978	0	0
56	nation_educ	5		✓	0.00299	0	0.000199
56	nation_educ	5		✗	0.997	0.000199	0
57	common_purpos	34		✓	0.646	0.0169	0.000995
57	common_purpos	34		✗	0.336	0.000199	0
58	teacher_union	33		✓	0.11	0.00139	0.0209
58	teacher_union	33		✗	0.86	0.00716	0.000398
59	presid_obama	20		✓	0.0615	0.00935	0.585
59	presid_obama	20		✗	0.319	0.00617	0.0191
60	union_boss	8		✓	0.0193	0	0.0661
60	union_boss	8		✗	0.336	0.00398	0.574
61	school_system	36		✓	0.65	0.000199	0.00418
61	school_system	36		✗	0.333	0.000597	0.0121
62	privat_school	21		✓	0.0293	0	0
62	privat_school	21		✗	0.971	0	0.000199
63	african_american	6		✓	0.00299	0	0
63	african_american	6		✗	0.997	0	0.000199
64	__NUM___month	13		✓	0.128	0.00119	0.602
64	__NUM___month	13		✗	0.269	0	0
65	white_hous	42		✓	0.574	0.0299	0.0679
65	white_hous	42		✗	0.149	0.000597	0.179
66	feder_program	46		✓	0.239	0.000995	0.0722
66	feder_program	46		✗	0.542	0.00955	0.136
67	public_school	13		✓	0.189	0.00159	0.000199
67	public_school	13		✗	0.746	0.00816	0.0553
68	common_sens	16		✓	0.0388	0.000199	0.000199
68	common_sens	16		✗	0.912	0.00796	0.0408
69	public_school	10		✓	0.00995	0	0.000398
69	public_school	10		✗	0.943	0.00776	0.0392
70	__MONEY___million	10		✓	0.0169	0	0.00577
70	__MONEY___million	10		✗	0.944	0.00199	0.0314
71	creat___NUM__	2		✓	0.00398	0	0.0153
71	creat___NUM__	2		✗	0.954	0.000796	0.0255
72	charter_school	1		✓	0.0432	0	0
72	charter_school	1		✗	0.957	0	0.000199
73	teacher_union	2		✓	0.00179	0	0
73	teacher_union	2		✗	0.998	0	0
74	state_legislatur	3		✓	0.00219	0.000199	0
74	state_legislatur	3		✗	0.998	0	0
75	teacher_union	29		✓	0.0169	0	0
75	teacher_union	29		✗	0.983	0	0
76	union_leader	8		✓	0.00816	0.000199	0.00458
76	union_leader	8		✗	0.987	0	0
77	wrong_side	53		✓	0.0828	0.00259	0.000398
77	wrong_side	53		✗	0.914	0	0.000199
78	good_teacher	11		✓	0.00836	0.000199	0
78	good_teacher	11		✗	0.989	0.00219	0
79	presid_obama	19		✓	0.0428	0.00378	0.0235
79	presid_obama	19		✗	0.928	0.00219	0.000199
80	educ_reform	20		✓	0.0215	0	0.00975
80	educ_reform	20		✗	0.949	0.000398	0.0189
81	special_interest	53		✓	0.0231	0	0.0312
81	special_interest	53		✗	0.922	0	0.0235
82	presid_obama	1		✓	0.00597	0.000597	0.00199
82	presid_obama	1		✗	0.938	0	0.0539
83	educ_reform	22		✓	0.0209	0	0.00458
83	educ_reform	22		✗	0.935	0	0.0396
84	special_interest	9		✓	0.00338	0	0.0199
84	special_interest	9		✗	0.934	0	0.043
85	campaign_cash	10		✓	0.0109	0	0.045
85	campaign_cash	10		✗	0.883	0	0.0613
86	import_thing	27		✓	0.0639	0	0.00816
86	import_thing	27		✗	0.823	0	0.105
87	good_teacher	4		✓	0.00517	0	0.000199
87	good_teacher	4		✗	0.883	0	0.112
88	york_citi	9		✓	0.0808	0.000597	0.00896
88	york_citi	9		✗	0.798	0	0.112
89	elementari_school	28		✓	0.132	0.000398	0.0201
89	elementari_school	28		✗	0.727	0.000398	0.12
90	good_peopl	15		✓	0.169	0.000995	0.0167
90	good_peopl	15		✗	0.684	0.000597	0.129
91	hispan_student	33		✓	0.108	0.000398	0.00418
91	hispan_student	33		✗	0.767	0.000597	0.12
92	school_system	4		✓	0.0107	0	0
92	school_system	4		✗	0.867	0	0.122
93	good_teacher	23		✓	0.00935	0	0.000199
93	good_teacher	23		✗	0.872	0	0.119
94	elect_offici	14		✓	0.0101	0	0.000796
94	elect_offici	14		✗	0.871	0	0.118
95	governor_bush	2		✓	0.000796	0	0.00119
95	governor_bush	2		✗	0.88	0	0.118
96	educ_reform	67		✓	0.122	0	0.00358
96	educ_reform	67		✗	0.86	0	0.0151
97	high_school	14		✓	0.0316	0	0.000199
97	high_school	14		✗	0.96	0	0.00776
98	top___NUM__	74		✓	0.606	0.0143	0.0398
98	top___NUM__	74		✗	0.336	0	0.00378
99	hard_work	13		✓	0.302	0.000398	0.00736
99	hard_work	13		✗	0.677	0.000995	0.0125
100	cell_phone	130		✓	0.438	0.00756	0.137
100	cell_phone	130		✗	0.412	0.000398	0.00498
101	good_teacher	93		✓	0.399	0.00299	0.00517
101	good_teacher	93		✗	0.585	0.000398	0.00716
102	big_idea	6		✓	0.579	0.000398	0.00637
102	big_idea	6		✗	0.41	0.000796	0.00318
103	god_bless_america	71		✓	0.411	0.00498	0.00139
103	god_bless_america	71		✗	0.582	0.000597	0.000398
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	2

Mitt Romney

Cue-lag representation