Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	televis_network	30		✓	0.000597	0.998	0.00119
1	televis_network	30		✗	0	0	0
2	nuclear_capabl	215		✓	0	0	0
2	nuclear_capabl	215		✗	0.000597	0.999	0.000597
3	__MONEY___billion	23		✓	0	0	0
3	__MONEY___billion	23		✗	0.00119	0.999	0
4	plai_hardbal	57		✓	0	0	0
4	plai_hardbal	57		✗	0.0215	0.976	0.00239
5	make_progress	14		✓	0	0	0
5	make_progress	14		✗	0.212	0.777	0.0109
6	civilian_govern	6		✓	0	0	0
6	civilian_govern	6		✗	0.322	0.677	0.000796
7	prime_minist	5		✓	0	0	0
7	prime_minist	5		✗	0.328	0.666	0.00657
8	divid_govern	24		✓	0	0	0
8	divid_govern	24		✗	0.322	0.676	0.00219
9	civilian_govern	16		✓	0	0	0
9	civilian_govern	16		✗	0.323	0.677	0.000597
10	terrorist_attack	9		✓	0	0	0
10	terrorist_attack	9		✗	0.323	0.677	0.000398
11	martial_law	91		✓	0	0	0
11	martial_law	91		✗	0.323	0.677	0
12	suprem_court	145		✓	0	0	0
12	suprem_court	145		✗	0.324	0.676	0
13	civilian_govern	41		✓	0	0	0
13	civilian_govern	41		✗	0.323	0.677	0
14	martial_law	33		✓	0	0	0
14	martial_law	33		✗	0.323	0.677	0
15	year_ago	98		✓	0	0	0
15	year_ago	98		✗	0.0776	0.852	0.07
16	good_thing	101		✓	0	0	0
16	good_thing	101		✗	0.0177	0.878	0.104
17	sectarian_violenc	42		✓	0	0	0
17	sectarian_violenc	42		✗	0.0221	0.889	0.0886
18	polit_leader	77		✓	0	0	0
18	polit_leader	77		✗	0.0203	0.903	0.0762
19	start_talk	109		✓	0	0	0
19	start_talk	109		✗	0.0201	0.901	0.0788
20	statu_quo	60		✓	0	0	0
20	statu_quo	60		✗	0.0215	0.891	0.0874
21	exit_strategi	11		✓	0	0	0
21	exit_strategi	11		✗	0.0189	0.882	0.0987
22	make_real	133		✓	0	0	0
22	make_real	133		✗	0.0326	0.77	0.198
23	american_peopl	50		✓	0	0	0
23	american_peopl	50		✗	0.0255	0.624	0.351
24	world_war_ii	47		✓	0	0	0
24	world_war_ii	47		✗	0.0165	0.628	0.355
25	good_thing	86		✓	0	0	0
25	good_thing	86		✗	0.0103	0.628	0.361
26	great_nation	123		✓	0	0	0
26	great_nation	123		✗	0.00418	0.622	0.374
27	south_carolina	129		✓	0	0	0
27	south_carolina	129		✗	0.0498	0.643	0.307
28	fred_thompson	4		✓	0	0	0
28	fred_thompson	4		✗	0.0933	0.676	0.231
29	nation_secur	34		✓	0	0	0
29	nation_secur	34		✗	0.527	0.0915	0.382
30	lost___NUM__	6		✓	0	0	0
30	lost___NUM__	6		✗	0.603	0.0237	0.374
31	__NUM___kid	0		✓	0	0	0
31	__NUM___kid	0		✗	0.624	0.0119	0.364
32	__NUM___wound	2		✓	0	0	0
32	__NUM___wound	2		✗	0.561	0.00617	0.433
33	saudi_arabia	75		✓	0	0	0
33	saudi_arabia	75		✗	0.514	0.000796	0.485
34	unit_state	147		✓	0	0	0
34	unit_state	147		✗	0.492	0	0.508
35	young_men	44		✓	0	0	0
35	young_men	44		✗	0.441	0	0.559
36	unit_state	54		✓	0	0	0
36	unit_state	54		✗	0.43	0	0.57
37	larg_part	9		✓	0	0	0
37	larg_part	9		✗	0.433	0	0.567
38	young_peopl	6		✓	0	0	0
38	young_peopl	6		✗	0.821	0	0.179
39	peopl_make	0		✓	0	0	0
39	peopl_make	0		✗	0.91	0	0.0896
40	medic_center	54		✓	0	0	0
40	medic_center	54		✗	0.913	0	0.0866
41	young_peopl	60		✓	0	0	0
41	young_peopl	60		✗	0.921	0	0.0788
42	saddam_hussein	73		✓	0	0	0
42	saddam_hussein	73		✗	0.963	0.000199	0.0372
43	mass_destruct	20		✓	0	0	0
43	mass_destruct	20		✗	0.94	0.000199	0.0595
44	half_year	20		✓	0	0	0
44	half_year	20		✗	0.921	0	0.079
45	war_began	3		✓	0	0	0
45	war_began	3		✗	0.897	0	0.103
46	nuclear_program	34		✓	0	0	0
46	nuclear_program	34		✗	0.908	0	0.0915
47	mass_destruct	123		✓	0	0	0
47	mass_destruct	123		✗	0.911	0	0.0886
48	nuclear_program	129		✓	0	0	0
48	nuclear_program	129		✗	0.908	0	0.0917
49	osama_bin_laden	62		✓	0	0	0
49	osama_bin_laden	62		✗	0.786	0	0.214
50	told_report	5		✓	0	0	0
50	told_report	5		✗	0.779	0	0.221
51	bin_laden	2		✓	0	0	0
51	bin_laden	2		✗	0.779	0.000199	0.221
52	osama_bin_laden	16		✓	0	0	0
52	osama_bin_laden	16		✗	0.78	0	0.22
53	osama_bin_laden	29		✓	0	0	0
53	osama_bin_laden	29		✗	0.781	0	0.219
54	import_thing	150		✓	0	0	0
54	import_thing	150		✗	0.634	0.000398	0.366
55	san_francisco	109		✓	0	0	0
55	san_francisco	109		✗	0.611	0.000199	0.389
56	unit_state	8		✓	0	0	0
56	unit_state	8		✗	0.616	0	0.384
57	intern_law	8		✓	0	0	0
57	intern_law	8		✗	0.619	0	0.381
58	nation_secur	12		✓	0	0	0
58	nation_secur	12		✗	0.607	0.000199	0.393
59	american_live	207		✓	0	0	0
59	american_live	207		✗	0.623	0	0.377
60	public_debat	79		✓	0	0	0
60	public_debat	79		✗	0.656	0	0.344
61	unit_state	22		✓	0	0	0
61	unit_state	22		✗	0.666	0	0.334
62	nuclear_weapon	133		✓	0	0	0
62	nuclear_weapon	133		✗	0.677	0	0.323
63	unit_state	67		✓	0	0	0
63	unit_state	67		✗	0.648	0.000796	0.351
64	nuclear_capabl	20		✓	0	0	0
64	nuclear_capabl	20		✗	0.361	0.279	0.36
65	labor_leader	108		✓	0	0	0
65	labor_leader	108		✗	0.483	0.0905	0.426
66	unit_state	28		✓	0	0	0
66	unit_state	28		✗	0.276	0.00617	0.717
67	great_nation	52		✓	0	0	0
67	great_nation	52		✗	0.0754	0.037	0.888
68	nation_state	196		✓	0	0	0
68	nation_state	196		✗	0.543	0.00657	0.451
69	extrem_difficult	82		✓	0	0	0
69	extrem_difficult	82		✗	0.622	0.00219	0.376
70	nuclear_bomb	118		✓	0	0	0
70	nuclear_bomb	118		✗	0.719	0.00219	0.278
71	hundr_thousand	153		✓	0	0	0
71	hundr_thousand	153		✗	0.769	0.00159	0.23
72	saudi_arabia	20		✓	0	0	0
72	saudi_arabia	20		✗	0.73	0	0.27
73	bad_decis	44		✓	0	0	0
73	bad_decis	44		✗	0.718	0.000796	0.281
74	nuclear_weapon	131		✓	0	0	0
74	nuclear_weapon	131		✗	0.746	0.00139	0.253
75	mass_destruct	407		✓	0	0	0
75	mass_destruct	407		✗	0.763	0.0235	0.213
76	lead_democrat	17		✓	0	0	0
76	lead_democrat	17		✗	0.406	0.36	0.235
77	same_thing	7		✓	0	0	0
77	same_thing	7		✗	0.121	0.64	0.239
78	fred_thompson	112		✓	0	0	0
78	fred_thompson	112		✗	0.00139	0.984	0.0149
79	republican_presidenti	14		✓	0	0	0
79	republican_presidenti	14		✗	0.000199	0.988	0.0117
80	presidenti_candid	0		✓	0	0	0
80	presidenti_candid	0		✗	0	0.989	0.0107
81	fred_thompson	1		✓	0	0	0
81	fred_thompson	1		✗	0	0.988	0.0117
82	virginia_tech	20		✓	0	0	0
82	virginia_tech	20		✗	0.0494	0.818	0.132
83	state_law	38		✓	0	0	0
83	state_law	38		✗	0.0975	0.754	0.148
84	free_zone	43		✓	0	0	0
84	free_zone	43		✗	0.116	0.733	0.151
85	conceal_weapon	53		✓	0	0	0
85	conceal_weapon	53		✗	0.116	0.733	0.151
86	__NUM___peopl	58		✓	0	0	0
86	__NUM___peopl	58		✗	0.116	0.732	0.151
87	peopl_gather	50		✓	0	0	0
87	peopl_gather	50		✗	0.118	0.73	0.152
88	conceal_weapon	19		✓	0	0	0
88	conceal_weapon	19		✗	0.115	0.733	0.151
89	state_law	15		✓	0	0	0
89	state_law	15		✗	0.0983	0.754	0.148
90	parti_primari	49		✓	0	0	0
90	parti_primari	49		✗	0.0561	0.802	0.142
91	__NUM___republican	16		✓	0	0	0
91	__NUM___republican	16		✗	0.0424	0.757	0.2
92	republican_parti	0		✓	0	0	0
92	republican_parti	0		✗	0.0507	0.677	0.272
93	parti_platform	0		✓	0	0	0
93	parti_platform	0		✗	0.03	0.605	0.365
94	unborn_child	10		✓	0	0	0
94	unborn_child	10		✗	0.00756	0.0687	0.924
95	human_life	15		✓	0	0	0
95	human_life	15		✗	0.00219	0.000398	0.997
96	fourteenth_amend	15		✓	0	0	0
96	fourteenth_amend	15		✗	0.00239	0	0.998
97	amend_protect	0		✓	0	0	0
97	amend_protect	0		✗	0.00259	0	0.997
98	unborn_children	3		✓	0	0	0
98	unborn_children	3		✗	0.00299	0.000199	0.997
99	human_life	30		✓	0	0	0
99	human_life	30		✗	0.00318	0	0.997
100	local_level	82		✓	0	0	0
100	local_level	82		✗	0.0591	0.00756	0.933
101	make_decis	2		✓	0	0	0
101	make_decis	2		✗	0.173	0.0726	0.754
102	fred_thompson	3		✓	0	0	0
102	fred_thompson	3		✗	0.0416	0.687	0.271
103	feder_govern	35		✓	0	0	0
103	feder_govern	35		✗	0.0344	0.65	0.316
104	constitut_amend	90		✓	0	0	0
104	constitut_amend	90		✗	0.00299	0.0139	0.983
105	life_begin	76		✓	0	0	0
105	life_begin	76		✗	0.000597	0.00119	0.998
106	unit_state	117		✓	0	0	0
106	unit_state	117		✗	0.0161	0	0.984
107	state_senat	0		✓	0	0	0
107	state_senat	0		✗	0.00139	0	0.999
108	feder_law	106		✓	0	0	0
108	feder_law	106		✗	0	0	1
109	feder_constitut	10		✓	0	0	0
109	feder_constitut	10		✗	0	0	1
110	constitut_amend	0		✓	0	0	0
110	constitut_amend	0		✗	0	0	1
111	feder_law	9		✓	0	0	0
111	feder_law	9		✗	0	0	1
112	feder_constitut	9		✓	0	0	0
112	feder_constitut	9		✗	0	0	1
113	constitut_amend	0		✓	0	0	0
113	constitut_amend	0		✗	0	0	1
114	birth_abort	24		✓	0	0	0
114	birth_abort	24		✗	0	0	1
115	mexico_citi	5		✓	0	0	0
115	mexico_citi	5		✗	0.000199	0	1
116	young_girl	7		✓	0	0	0
116	young_girl	7		✗	0	0	1
117	state_line	2		✓	0	0	0
117	state_line	2		✗	0.000199	0	1
118	same_posit	49		✓	0	0	0
118	same_posit	49		✗	0	0.000796	0.999
119	feder_fund	2		✓	0	0	0
119	feder_fund	2		✗	0.000199	0.000199	1
120	young_girl	79		✓	0	0	0
120	young_girl	79		✗	0	0	1
121	crimin_law	31		✓	0	0	0
121	crimin_law	31		✗	0.000796	0.000199	0.999
122	pretti_good	21		✓	0	0	0
122	pretti_good	21		✗	0.00179	0	0.998
123	life_begin	87		✓	0	0	0
123	life_begin	87		✗	0	0	1
124	human_life	64		✓	0	0	0
124	human_life	64		✗	0.000597	0	0.999
125	ag_group	82		✓	0	0	0
125	ag_group	82		✗	0.000597	0	0.999
126	young_girl	12		✓	0	0	0
126	young_girl	12		✗	0	0	1
127	gai_marriag	82		✓	0	0	0
127	gai_marriag	82		✗	0	0	1
128	constitut_amend	11		✓	0	0	0
128	constitut_amend	11		✗	0	0	1
129	gai_marriag	6		✓	0	0	0
129	gai_marriag	6		✗	0	0	1
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	1

Fred Thompson

Cue-lag representation