Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	hard_work	12		✓	1	0	0.000199
1	hard_work	12		✗	0	0	0
2	union_member	1		✓	0.00617	0	0
2	union_member	1		✗	0.994	0	0
3	american_worker	9		✓	0.000995	0	0
3	american_worker	9		✗	0.999	0	0
4	real_wage	8		✓	0.00159	0	0
4	real_wage	8		✗	0.998	0	0
5	student_loan	21		✓	0.00597	0.00597	0
5	student_loan	21		✗	0.988	0	0
6	tax_break	4		✓	0.00179	0.000199	0
6	tax_break	4		✗	0.993	0.00537	0
7	job_oversea	5		✓	0.00139	0	0
7	job_oversea	5		✗	0.994	0.00478	0
8	social_secur	5		✓	0.00458	0	0
8	social_secur	5		✗	0.995	0.000796	0
9	labor_movement	39		✓	0.00836	0.000199	0.000199
9	labor_movement	39		✗	0.991	0	0
10	__NUM___job	20		✓	0.00279	0	0
10	__NUM___job	20		✗	0.997	0	0
11	work_famili	19		✓	0.00179	0	0
11	work_famili	19		✗	0.998	0	0
12	health_insur	5		✓	0.000199	0	0
12	health_insur	5		✗	1	0	0
13	work_famili	2		✓	0.000398	0	0
13	work_famili	2		✗	1	0	0
14	health_care	13		✓	0.00119	0	0
14	health_care	13		✗	0.999	0	0
15	state_govern	10		✓	0.00159	0	0
15	state_govern	10		✗	0.998	0	0
16	white_hous	27		✓	0.03	0	0
16	white_hous	27		✗	0.97	0	0
17	hard_work	5		✓	0.00657	0	0
17	hard_work	5		✗	0.993	0	0
18	minimum_wage	10		✓	0.00159	0	0
18	minimum_wage	10		✗	0.998	0	0
19	work_poor	48		✓	0.00995	0	0
19	work_poor	48		✗	0.99	0	0
20	middl_class	10		✓	0.000995	0	0
20	middl_class	10		✗	0.999	0	0
21	minimum_wage	16		✓	0.00139	0	0
21	minimum_wage	16		✗	0.999	0	0
22	middl_class	23		✓	0.00299	0	0
22	middl_class	23		✗	0.997	0	0
23	collect_bargain	87		✓	0.0113	0	0.00199
23	collect_bargain	87		✗	0.987	0	0
24	public_employe	3		✓	0.00139	0	0.00398
24	public_employe	3		✗	0.993	0	0.00199
25	fair_share	8		✓	0.0101	0.000398	0.202
25	fair_share	8		✗	0.782	0	0.00597
26	american_feder	15		✓	0.0287	0.00219	0.044
26	american_feder	15		✗	0.733	0.000398	0.192
27	union_worker	82		✓	0.0297	0.00179	0.621
27	union_worker	82		✗	0.151	0	0.197
28	state_fund	12		✓	0.00179	0.000199	0.0824
28	state_fund	12		✗	0.116	0.000398	0.799
29	__MONEY___billion	10		✓	0.00896	0	0.0611
29	__MONEY___billion	10		✗	0.0587	0	0.871
30	billion_dollar	0		✓	0.000199	0	0.000597
30	billion_dollar	0		✗	0.0669	0	0.932
31	__MONEY___million	49		✓	0.078	0	0.00239
31	__MONEY___million	49		✗	0.0577	0	0.862
32	public_work	12		✓	0.00716	0	0.0117
32	public_work	12		✗	0.117	0	0.864
33	independ_contractor	47		✓	0.0145	0.00279	0.0302
33	independ_contractor	47		✗	0.0909	0	0.861
34	presid_clinton	59		✓	0.0396	0	0.0639
34	presid_clinton	59		✗	0.0346	0.000597	0.861
35	long_ago	90		✓	0.0105	0.00179	0.0631
35	long_ago	90		✗	0.0251	0.000398	0.899
36	feder_govern	6		✓	0.000398	0	0.00299
36	feder_govern	6		✗	0.034	0.00199	0.961
37	govern_failur	0		✓	0.00299	0	0.000398
37	govern_failur	0		✗	0.0338	0.00159	0.961
38	presid_clinton	12		✓	0.104	0.000398	0.0145
38	presid_clinton	12		✗	0.0249	0.000597	0.855
39	__MONEY___billion	34		✓	0.104	0	0.00438
39	__MONEY___billion	34		✗	0.113	0	0.779
40	deputi_chief	56		✓	0.29	0.0153	0.201
40	deputi_chief	56		✗	0.151	0	0.342
41	labor_union	43		✓	0.131	0.00498	0.226
41	labor_union	43		✗	0.404	0.00756	0.227
42	__NUM___year	14		✓	0.0223	0.000597	0.0768
42	__NUM___year	14		✗	0.494	0.00299	0.404
43	import_point	52		✓	0.131	0.000398	0.0846
43	import_point	52		✗	0.413	0.000398	0.371
44	nation_vote	15		✓	0.0131	0	0.0195
44	nation_vote	15		✗	0.529	0.000398	0.438
45	democrat_presid	8		✓	0.00557	0.000199	0.00398
45	democrat_presid	8		✗	0.539	0	0.452
46	al_gore	17		✓	0.0105	0	0.00478
46	al_gore	17		✗	0.538	0	0.446
47	democrat_congress	15		✓	0.0247	0.000796	0.0183
47	democrat_congress	15		✗	0.529	0	0.428
48	organ_labor	55		✓	0.553	0.0101	0.0269
48	organ_labor	55		✗	0.338	0.000199	0.0724
49	clean_energi	31		✓	0.35	0	0
49	clean_energi	31		✗	0.65	0	0.000796
50	clean_coal	36		✓	0.0173	0	0
50	clean_coal	36		✗	0.983	0	0
51	coal_plant	0		✓	0	0	0
51	coal_plant	0		✗	1	0	0
52	foreign_oil	6		✓	0.000796	0	0
52	foreign_oil	6		✗	0.999	0	0
53	global_warm	3		✓	0.00139	0	0
53	global_warm	3		✗	0.999	0	0
54	wage_job	7		✓	0.00637	0	0
54	wage_job	7		✗	0.994	0	0
55	clean_energi	4		✓	0.0259	0	0
55	clean_energi	4		✗	0.974	0	0
56	bill_clinton	24		✓	0.836	0.000796	0.00159
56	bill_clinton	24		✗	0.162	0	0
57	polit_prison	14		✓	0.162	0	0
57	polit_prison	14		✗	0.838	0	0
58	bad_gui	7		✓	0.0269	0	0
58	bad_gui	7		✗	0.973	0	0
59	saddam_hussein	20		✓	0.0635	0	0
59	saddam_hussein	20		✗	0.937	0	0
60	fidel_castro	2		✓	0.00856	0	0
60	fidel_castro	2		✗	0.991	0	0
61	north_korean	4		✓	0.0139	0	0.000199
61	north_korean	4		✗	0.986	0	0
62	same_sort	14		✓	0.0513	0	0.00259
62	same_sort	14		✗	0.946	0	0.000199
63	foreign_polici	18		✓	0.0736	0	0.00159
63	foreign_polici	18		✗	0.924	0	0.00119
64	global_warm	12		✓	0.047	0	0
64	global_warm	12		✗	0.953	0	0.000199
65	foreign_polici	24		✓	0.0911	0	0.0183
65	foreign_polici	24		✗	0.89	0	0.000199
66	health_care	152		✓	0.473	0.000199	0.000597
66	health_care	152		✗	0.526	0	0
67	qualiti_educ	2		✓	0.00179	0	0
67	qualiti_educ	2		✗	0.998	0	0
68	clean_energi	8		✓	0.0185	0	0
68	clean_energi	8		✗	0.981	0	0
69	energi_economi	0		✓	0.00139	0	0
69	energi_economi	0		✗	0.999	0	0
70	middl_class	4		✓	0.00139	0	0
70	middl_class	4		✗	0.999	0	0
71	foreign_polici	13		✓	0.798	0	0.173
71	foreign_polici	13		✗	0.0287	0	0
72	god_bless	33		✓	0.153	0	0.0247
72	god_bless	33		✗	0.709	0	0.113
73	unit_state	7		✓	0.0362	0	0.00736
73	unit_state	7		✗	0.832	0	0.125
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Bill Richardson

Cue-lag representation