Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	__NUM___year_ago	41		✓	0.981	0	0.0185
1	__NUM___year_ago	41		✗	0	0	0
2	northern_virginia	14		✓	0.0498	0.000199	0.00458
2	northern_virginia	14		✗	0.936	0	0.00995
3	make_america	123		✓	0.397	0.000199	0.0139
3	make_america	123		✗	0.588	0	0.000796
4	work_hard	36		✓	0.132	0	0.0225
4	work_hard	36		✗	0.843	0	0.00199
5	american_peopl	35		✓	0.102	0.000199	0.129
5	american_peopl	35		✗	0.751	0	0.0179
6	__NUM___year	42		✓	0.0227	0	0.774
6	__NUM___year	42		✗	0.127	0	0.0762
7	georg_bush	5		✓	0.000995	0	0.103
7	georg_bush	5		✗	0.0685	0	0.827
8	hard_work	36		✓	0.515	0.000199	0.08
8	hard_work	36		✗	0.0267	0	0.379
9	middl_class	12		✓	0.0766	0.00856	0.111
9	middl_class	12		✗	0.489	0.000199	0.314
10	person_attack	197		✓	0.708	0.0117	0.0416
10	person_attack	197		✗	0.219	0.000199	0.0191
11	nativ_american	34		✓	0.191	0	0
11	nativ_american	34		✗	0.808	0.000199	0.00119
12	polit_parti	153		✓	0.62	0	0.000796
12	polit_parti	153		✗	0.379	0	0.000199
13	unit_state	32		✓	0.104	0	0.00736
13	unit_state	32		✗	0.888	0	0
14	town_hall_meet	58		✓	0.147	0	0
14	town_hall_meet	58		✗	0.853	0	0
15	live_room	6		✓	0.00478	0	0
15	live_room	6		✗	0.995	0	0
16	earlier_gener	46		✓	0.0209	0	0
16	earlier_gener	46		✗	0.979	0	0
17	south_carolina	10		✓	0.00239	0	0
17	south_carolina	10		✗	0.998	0	0
18	state_repres	56		✓	0.0199	0.000199	0.000199
18	state_repres	56		✗	0.98	0	0
19	south_carolina	53		✓	0.0219	0.000199	0
19	south_carolina	53		✗	0.978	0	0
20	__NUM___a.m	94		✓	0.0426	0.0279	0.00199
20	__NUM___a.m	94		✗	0.927	0.000199	0
21	hotel_room	66		✓	0.0322	0.00498	0.00299
21	hotel_room	66		✗	0.934	0.0259	0.000199
22	york_time	26		✓	0.0147	0.00119	0.0137
22	york_time	26		✗	0.939	0.0291	0.00239
23	__NUM___peopl	145		✓	0.669	0.0107	0.00159
23	__NUM___peopl	145		✗	0.317	0.00119	0
24	shake_hand	42		✓	0.0822	0.00119	0.000199
24	shake_hand	42		✗	0.906	0.0101	0
25	__NUM___peopl	72		✓	0.144	0	0.000398
25	__NUM___peopl	72		✗	0.846	0.00955	0
26	__NUM___year	37		✓	0.442	0	0.0348
26	__NUM___year	37		✗	0.523	0	0
27	__NUM___feet	6		✓	0.033	0	0.00199
27	__NUM___feet	6		✗	0.943	0	0.0221
28	feel_good	210		✓	0.645	0.00139	0.00418
28	feel_good	210		✗	0.349	0	0.000398
29	__NUM___hour	188		✓	0.548	0.000398	0.0424
29	__NUM___hour	188		✗	0.409	0	0.000199
30	god_bless	107		✓	0.391	0	0
30	god_bless	107		✗	0.609	0	0
31	unit_state	6		✓	0.0215	0	0.0111
31	unit_state	6		✗	0.967	0	0.000199
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation