Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	short_distanc	90		✓	0.963	0.00378	0.0328
1	short_distanc	90		✗	0	0	0
2	energi_effici	67		✓	0.253	0	0
2	energi_effici	67		✗	0.747	0	0.000199
3	local_commun	26		✓	0.00279	0	0
3	local_commun	26		✗	0.997	0	0
4	nation_govern	28		✓	0.00378	0	0
4	nation_govern	28		✗	0.996	0	0
5	global_warm	13		✓	0.000796	0	0.000199
5	global_warm	13		✗	0.999	0	0
6	feder_level	46		✓	0.00677	0	0
6	feder_level	46		✗	0.993	0	0
7	global_warm	41		✓	0.00517	0	0
7	global_warm	41		✗	0.995	0	0
8	greenhous_ga_emiss	8		✓	0.000398	0	0
8	greenhous_ga_emiss	8		✗	1	0	0
9	power_plant	29		✓	0.00279	0	0.000398
9	power_plant	29		✗	0.997	0	0
10	global_warm	77		✓	0.0448	0	0.0103
10	global_warm	77		✗	0.945	0	0.000199
11	__NUM___minut	41		✓	0.111	0	0.00179
11	__NUM___minut	41		✗	0.884	0	0.00318
12	feder_govern	34		✓	0.0265	0.000199	0.00259
12	feder_govern	34		✗	0.968	0	0.00259
13	local_level	21		✓	0.00756	0	0.00776
13	local_level	21		✗	0.98	0	0.00498
14	unit_front	36		✓	0.0203	0	0.000796
14	unit_front	36		✗	0.974	0	0.00478
15	global_warm	7		✓	0.00478	0	0
15	global_warm	7		✗	0.993	0	0.00199
16	foreign_oil	19		✓	0.00517	0	0
16	foreign_oil	19		✗	0.995	0	0
17	trade_deficit	9		✓	0.000796	0	0
17	trade_deficit	9		✗	0.999	0	0
18	foreign_oil	12		✓	0.00159	0	0
18	foreign_oil	12		✗	0.998	0	0
19	secur_issu	50		✓	0.00498	0	0
19	secur_issu	50		✗	0.995	0	0
20	saudi_arabia	17		✓	0.00239	0	0
20	saudi_arabia	17		✗	0.998	0	0
21	__NUM___gallon	6		✓	0.00179	0	0
21	__NUM___gallon	6		✗	0.998	0	0
22	global_economi	21		✓	0.00398	0	0.000199
22	global_economi	21		✗	0.996	0	0
23	great_power	29		✓	0.00517	0	0
23	great_power	29		✗	0.995	0	0
24	oil_compani	3		✓	0.000398	0	0
24	oil_compani	3		✗	1	0	0
25	ga_station	68		✓	0.0137	0	0
25	ga_station	68		✗	0.986	0	0
26	jimmi_carter	21		✓	0.00796	0	0
26	jimmi_carter	21		✗	0.992	0	0
27	foreign_oil	24		✓	0.00478	0	0
27	foreign_oil	24		✗	0.995	0	0
28	ga_price	59		✓	0.0181	0.000398	0
28	ga_price	59		✗	0.981	0	0
29	polit_pressur	1		✓	0.000796	0	0
29	polit_pressur	1		✗	0.999	0.000199	0
30	ga_price	10		✓	0.00259	0	0
30	ga_price	10		✗	0.997	0	0
31	__NUM___mile	8		✓	0.00119	0	0
31	__NUM___mile	8		✗	0.999	0	0
32	ga_station	15		✓	0.00199	0	0
32	ga_station	15		✗	0.998	0	0
33	__NUM___cent	13		✓	0.00796	0	0
33	__NUM___cent	13		✗	0.992	0	0
34	presid_reagan	41		✓	0.0187	0	0.000199
34	presid_reagan	41		✗	0.981	0	0
35	energi_effici	8		✓	0.00159	0	0
35	energi_effici	8		✗	0.998	0	0
36	ga_price	27		✓	0.00716	0.000199	0
36	ga_price	27		✗	0.993	0	0
37	foreign_oil	18		✓	0.00358	0	0
37	foreign_oil	18		✗	0.996	0	0
38	conserv_mind	132		✓	0.0295	0	0.00259
38	conserv_mind	132		✗	0.968	0	0
39	oil_compani	12		✓	0.00478	0	0
39	oil_compani	12		✗	0.995	0	0
40	energi_effici	48		✓	0.00398	0	0
40	energi_effici	48		✗	0.996	0	0
41	__NUM___job	56		✓	0.00836	0	0
41	__NUM___job	56		✗	0.992	0	0
42	million_dollar	12		✓	0.00119	0	0
42	million_dollar	12		✗	0.999	0	0
43	energi_effici	4		✓	0.000597	0	0
43	energi_effici	4		✗	0.999	0	0
44	__NUM___job	5		✓	0.000199	0	0
44	__NUM___job	5		✗	1	0	0
45	make_sens	4		✓	0.000398	0	0
45	make_sens	4		✗	1	0	0
46	save_monei	8		✓	0.00119	0	0
46	save_monei	8		✗	0.999	0	0
47	low_incom	5		✓	0.000995	0.0181	0
47	low_incom	5		✗	0.981	0	0
48	incom_peopl	0		✓	0.000199	0.000796	0
48	incom_peopl	0		✗	0.981	0.0181	0
49	make_progress	73		✓	0.0651	0	0.000199
49	make_progress	73		✗	0.935	0	0
50	good_job	13		✓	0.00836	0	0
50	good_job	13		✗	0.992	0	0
51	green_build	23		✓	0.00458	0	0
51	green_build	23		✗	0.995	0	0
52	__NUM___billion	3		✓	0.000199	0	0
52	__NUM___billion	3		✗	1	0	0
53	billion_dollar	0		✓	0.000398	0	0
53	billion_dollar	0		✗	1	0	0
54	__NUM___peopl	25		✓	0.00617	0	0
54	__NUM___peopl	25		✗	0.994	0	0
55	global_warm	26		✓	0.00318	0	0.000199
55	global_warm	26		✗	0.997	0	0
56	energi_secur	24		✓	0.00119	0	0
56	energi_secur	24		✗	0.999	0	0
57	__NUM___billion	7		✓	0.000796	0	0
57	__NUM___billion	7		✗	0.999	0	0
58	billion_dollar	0		✓	0	0	0
58	billion_dollar	0		✗	1	0	0
59	energi_secur	41		✓	0.00557	0	0
59	energi_secur	41		✗	0.994	0	0
60	global_warm	2		✓	0.000398	0	0
60	global_warm	2		✗	1	0	0
61	atom_bomb	21		✓	0.00697	0	0
61	atom_bomb	21		✗	0.993	0	0
62	earlier_gener	4		✓	0.000597	0	0
62	earlier_gener	4		✗	0.999	0	0
63	__NUM___billion	17		✓	0.00299	0	0
63	__NUM___billion	17		✗	0.997	0	0
64	billion_dollar	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
64	billion_dollar	0		✗	1	0	0
65	oil_compani	8		✓	0.000796	0	0
65	oil_compani	8		✗	0.999	0	0
66	public_land	6		✓	0.000199	0	0
66	public_land	6		✗	1	0	0
67	fair_share	7		✓	0.00199	0	0
67	fair_share	7		✗	0.998	0	0
68	public_land	1		✓	0	0	0
68	public_land	1		✗	1	0	0
69	__NUM___billion	11		✓	0.00119	0	0
69	__NUM___billion	11		✗	0.999	0	0
70	bush_administr	14		✓	0.00119	0.000597	0
70	bush_administr	14		✗	0.998	0	0
71	oil_compani	8		✓	0.00139	0.000995	0
71	oil_compani	8		✗	0.997	0.000597	0
72	__NUM___billion	24		✓	0.00358	0.00159	0
72	__NUM___billion	24		✗	0.993	0.00159	0
73	oil_compani	22		✓	0.00438	0.00498	0
73	oil_compani	22		✗	0.988	0.00299	0
74	__NUM___dollar	27		✓	0.0169	0.0153	0.000199
74	__NUM___dollar	27		✗	0.96	0.00716	0
75	oil_compani	62		✓	0.0334	0.000398	0
75	oil_compani	62		✗	0.964	0.00199	0
76	__NUM___billion	61		✓	0.0103	0	0
76	__NUM___billion	61		✗	0.99	0	0
77	billion_dollar	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
77	billion_dollar	0		✗	1	0	0
78	energi_secur	41		✓	0.00478	0	0
78	energi_secur	41		✗	0.995	0	0
79	secur_issu	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
79	secur_issu	0		✗	1	0	0
80	global_warm	3		✓	0.000597	0	0
80	global_warm	3		✗	0.999	0	0
81	oil_compani	57		✓	0.0237	0.000398	0
81	oil_compani	57		✗	0.976	0	0
82	dick_chenei	46		✓	0.0484	0.000199	0.000199
82	dick_chenei	46		✗	0.951	0.000199	0
83	feder_legisl	39		✓	0.0123	0	0.00199
83	feder_legisl	39		✗	0.985	0	0.000199
84	global_warm	5		✓	0.000597	0	0.000199
84	global_warm	5		✗	0.997	0	0.00199
85	privat_sector	66		✓	0.0185	0	0
85	privat_sector	66		✗	0.981	0	0
86	global_warm	22		✓	0.00955	0	0.00159
86	global_warm	22		✗	0.989	0	0
87	move_forward	19		✓	0.0291	0.000199	0.000597
87	move_forward	19		✗	0.969	0	0.000995
88	inform_technolog	45		✓	0.0135	0	0
88	inform_technolog	45		✗	0.986	0	0
89	global_warm	31		✓	0.00517	0	0
89	global_warm	31		✗	0.995	0	0
90	put_forward	24		✓	0.00318	0.000398	0
90	put_forward	24		✗	0.996	0	0
91	trade_system	9		✓	0.00139	0	0
91	trade_system	9		✗	0.999	0	0
92	greenhous_ga_emiss	4		✓	0.000796	0	0
92	greenhous_ga_emiss	4		✗	0.999	0	0
93	__NUM___level	8		✓	0.00119	0.000995	0
93	__NUM___level	8		✗	0.998	0	0
94	american_economi	38		✓	0.0299	0.0673	0.00637
94	american_economi	38		✗	0.896	0.000995	0
95	billion_dollar	33		✓	0.0153	0.00318	0.00677
95	billion_dollar	33		✗	0.914	0.0543	0.00597
96	space_program	10		✓	0.0647	0	0.0219
96	space_program	10		✗	0.881	0.0199	0.0123
97	world_todai	39		✓	0.702	0.000796	0.0985
97	world_todai	39		✗	0.178	0.000398	0.0201
98	__NUM___year	30		✓	0.15	0.000796	0.00637
98	__NUM___year	30		✗	0.778	0.000199	0.0643
99	young_peopl	76		✓	0.295	0.000199	0
99	young_peopl	76		✗	0.705	0	0.000199
100	global_warm	11		✓	0.0358	0	0.000398
100	global_warm	11		✗	0.964	0	0
101	__NUM___year_ago	2		✓	0.00478	0	0
101	__NUM___year_ago	2		✗	0.995	0	0
102	bill_gate	5		✓	0.0111	0.000796	0
102	bill_gate	5		✗	0.988	0	0
103	energi_bill	25		✓	0.0231	0	0
103	energi_bill	25		✗	0.977	0	0
104	week_ago	3		✓	0.00876	0	0
104	week_ago	3		✗	0.991	0	0
105	good_thing	5		✓	0.00259	0.000995	0.000398
105	good_thing	5		✗	0.996	0	0
106	step_forward	47		✓	0.0299	0.00199	0.0123
106	step_forward	47		✗	0.955	0.000597	0.000199
107	food_price	40		✓	0.223	0.0862	0.00498
107	food_price	40		✗	0.681	0.00219	0.00239
108	__NUM___million	17		✓	0.0531	0.0103	0
108	__NUM___million	17		✗	0.857	0.0794	0.000398
109	great_work	116		✓	0.38	0.000398	0.0225
109	great_work	116		✗	0.595	0.000796	0.000398
110	green_build	28		✓	0.0635	0.000199	0.0171
110	green_build	28		✗	0.899	0	0.0207
111	introduc_legisl	4		✓	0.00119	0	0.0836
111	introduc_legisl	4		✗	0.877	0	0.0378
112	senat_kerri	2		✓	0.00896	0	0.033
112	senat_kerri	2		✗	0.837	0	0.121
113	john_kerri	2		✓	0.00716	0.000199	0.000597
113	john_kerri	2		✗	0.842	0	0.15
114	feder_govern	16		✓	0.0963	0.00299	0.000597
114	feder_govern	16		✗	0.809	0	0.0915
115	spend___MONEY___billion	11		✓	0.0901	0	0
115	spend___MONEY___billion	11		✗	0.827	0.000796	0.0824
116	feder_govern	17		✓	0.0374	0.00398	0.000199
116	feder_govern	17		✗	0.878	0.000796	0.0796
117	big_problem	97		✓	0.39	0.000796	0.0109
117	big_problem	97		✗	0.585	0.000199	0.0129
118	feder_govern	107		✓	0.211	0.00677	0.000597
118	feder_govern	107		✗	0.776	0	0.00597
119	global_warm	45		✓	0.047	0	0.00119
119	global_warm	45		✗	0.952	0	0.000199
120	energi_bill	38		✓	0.0149	0	0
120	energi_bill	38		✗	0.985	0	0
121	feder_govern	6		✓	0.00159	0.000199	0
121	feder_govern	6		✗	0.998	0	0
122	citi_hall	52		✓	0.0149	0.000199	0.000199
122	citi_hall	52		✗	0.985	0	0
123	solar_energi	23		✓	0.0275	0.000398	0.00279
123	solar_energi	23		✗	0.969	0	0.000199
124	public_educ	45		✓	0.104	0	0
124	public_educ	45		✗	0.896	0	0
125	educ_program	0		✓	0.000398	0	0.000199
125	educ_program	0		✗	0.999	0	0
126	fossil_fuel	58		✓	0.0173	0	0
126	fossil_fuel	58		✗	0.983	0	0
127	oil_compani	5		✓	0.000995	0	0
127	oil_compani	5		✗	0.999	0	0
128	tax_incent	20		✓	0.000995	0	0
128	tax_incent	20		✗	0.999	0	0
129	energi_bill	8		✓	0.00338	0	0.000199
129	energi_bill	8		✗	0.996	0	0
130	tax_monei	39		✓	0.042	0.00338	0.0113
130	tax_monei	39		✗	0.943	0	0.000199
131	oil_compani	15		✓	0.0376	0.00119	0
131	oil_compani	15		✗	0.955	0.00259	0.00338
132	market_share	11		✓	0.0947	0.00139	0.0153
132	market_share	11		✗	0.884	0.00179	0.00299
133	care_deepli	48		✓	0.846	0	0.00179
133	care_deepli	48		✗	0.152	0	0.000995
134	long_time	11		✓	0.0498	0	0.000199
134	long_time	11		✗	0.949	0	0.00119
135	school_district	39		✓	0.139	0	0.000796
135	school_district	39		✗	0.86	0	0.000199
136	renew_energi	85		✓	0.109	0	0.000199
136	renew_energi	85		✗	0.891	0	0
137	energi_technolog	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
137	energi_technolog	0		✗	1	0	0
138	__NUM___year	61		✓	0.0279	0	0.000597
138	__NUM___year	61		✗	0.972	0	0
139	green_build	48		✓	0.00776	0	0
139	green_build	48		✗	0.992	0	0
140	privat_sector	31		✓	0.0111	0	0.00697
140	privat_sector	31		✗	0.982	0	0
141	public_sector	2		✓	0.00159	0	0.00338
141	public_sector	2		✗	0.988	0	0.00677
142	person_level	104		✓	0.0195	0.00159	0.817
142	person_level	104		✗	0.154	0	0.00736
143	local_level	5		✓	0.00219	0	0.0105
143	local_level	5		✗	0.17	0.000199	0.818
144	global_warm	66		✓	0.0105	0	0.158
144	global_warm	66		✗	0.101	0	0.731
145	presid_bush	17		✓	0.00617	0.00418	0.0388
145	presid_bush	17		✗	0.082	0	0.869
146	global_warm	174		✓	0.0394	0.000398	0.214
146	global_warm	174		✗	0.0607	0	0.686
147	introduc_legisl	30		✓	0.0105	0.00418	0.0388
147	introduc_legisl	30		✗	0.0846	0.000199	0.862
148	york_citi	42		✓	0.722	0.0175	0.00577
148	york_citi	42		✗	0.0279	0.00179	0.225
149	live_condit	21		✓	0.101	0.00239	0.00239
149	live_condit	21		✗	0.692	0.00776	0.194
150	__NUM___year	45		✓	0.347	0.000199	0.00279
150	__NUM___year	45		✗	0.632	0.000199	0.0181
151	polic_offic	12		✓	0.0619	0	0.000597
151	polic_offic	12		✗	0.929	0	0.00836
152	clean_air	58		✓	0.213	0	0.00259
152	clean_air	58		✗	0.782	0	0.00259
153	children_health	23		✓	0.101	0	0
153	children_health	23		✗	0.899	0	0
154	unit_state	41		✓	0.151	0.000199	0.00935
154	unit_state	41		✗	0.84	0	0
155	elect_presid	13		✓	0.0583	0.000995	0.000796
155	elect_presid	13		✗	0.936	0.000199	0.00418
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	1

Hillary Clinton

Cue-lag representation